Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Orgryte had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Orgryte win was 1-0 (8.86%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.