Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Halmstads BK had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Halmstads BK win was 1-0 (8.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.