Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Orgryte had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.58%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Orgryte win was 2-1 (7.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.