Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Degerfors had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Degerfors win was 1-0 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.