Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Degerfors win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 30.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Degerfors win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.