Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 14, 2026 4.00pm

Uganda vs Botswana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Uganda

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 8.00pm
Tunisia 1 - 1 Uganda

Botswana

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Libya 2 - 2 Botswana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uganda win with a probability of 49.87%. A draw has a probability of 27.32% and a win for Botswana has a probability of 22.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.68%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.37%) , while for a Botswana win it is 0-1 (7.5%).

Result

Uganda 49.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 27.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Botswana 22.81%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.9% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 69.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 30.62% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 44.01% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 55.99% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 23.4% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 76.6% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.05% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.95% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

Uganda 35.09%
Draw 48.62%
Botswana 16.29%

Team To Score First

Uganda 58.15% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 9.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Botswana 32.3% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 33.48%
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 55.13%
Over 9 23.94%
Equal 9 9.54%
Under 9 66.52%
Over 10.5 16.54%
Under 10.5 83.46%

Uganda Goals

Over 1.5 43.16% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 56.84% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 18.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 81.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.28% ▼ (-0.04)

Botswana Goals

Over 0.5 55.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 44.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 22.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 77.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 7.44% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.03%
Under 3.5 97.97%

Score analysis

Uganda 49.86%
Draw 27.33%
Botswana 22.81%
Uganda
1-0 @ 13.57% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 9.68% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 49.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 27.33%
Botswana
0-1 @ 7.5% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.64%
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 22.81%

Head to Head

World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Oct 9, 2025 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Francistown Stadium
  • Thatayaone Ditlhokwe 22' yellowcard
  • Mothusi Johnson 43' yellowcard
  • Gilbert Baruti 62' yellowcard
  • goal Jude Ssemugabi 54'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Jun 7, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Reunification
  • Halid Lwaliwa 44' yellowcard
  • Muhammad Shaban 74' goal
  • Rogers Mato 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tebogo Kopelang 59'
  • yellowcard Thatayaone Ditlhokwe 86'