Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Gameweek
3
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South Africa vs Kenya - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 55.02%. A draw has a probability of 24.83% and a win for Kenya has a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.87%) , while for a Kenya win it is 0-1 (7.01%).
Result
South Africa
55.02%
Draw
24.83%
Kenya
20.15%
Both Teams to Score:
45.05%
Goals
Over 1.5
70.42%
Under 1.5
29.58%
Over 2.5
45%
Under 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
23.36%
Under 3.5
76.64%
Over 4.5
13.23%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
86.77%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
South Africa
38.08%
Draw
45.86%
Kenya
16.06%
Team To Score First
South Africa
60.69%
No Goal
8.92%
Kenya
30.39%
Corners
Over 8
24.22%
Equal 8
9.28%
Under 8
66.5%
Over 9
17.14%
Equal 9
7.08%
Under 9
75.78%
Over 10.5
12.06%
Under 10.5
87.94%
South Africa Goals
Over 1.5
46.54%
Under 1.5
53.46%
Over 2.5
21.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
78.2%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
8.2%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
91.8%
▲
(+0.04)
Kenya Goals
Over 0.5
53.01%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
46.99%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
19.53%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
80.47%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
5.21%
Under 2.5
94.79%
Over 3.5
1.18%
Under 3.5
98.82%
Score analysis
South Africa
55.02%
Draw
24.85%
Kenya
20.15%
South Africa
1-0
@
13.67%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 55.02%
2-0 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 5.81%
3-1 @ 5.06% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 55.02%
Draw
1-1
@
11.87%
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.85%
0-0 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.85%
Kenya
0-1
@
7.01%
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.13%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 20.15%
1-2 @ 5.22%
0-2 @ 3.12%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.13%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 20.15%