Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Gameweek
2
Eritrea vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw has a probability of 20.18% and a win for Eritrea has a probability of 10.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (15.26%) and 0-3 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (9.58%) , while for a Eritrea win it is 1-0 (5.57%).
Result
Eritrea
10.42%
▲
(+4.63)
Draw
20.18%
▲
(+3.02)
South Africa
69.41%
▼
(-7.64)
Both Teams to Score:
36.75%
▲
(+2.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
67.81%
▼
(-0.96)
Under 1.5
32.19%
▲
(+0.95)
Over 2.5
40.99%
▼
(-0.80)
Under 2.5
59.01%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 3.5
20.81%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 3.5
79.19%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 4.5
14.36%
▼
(-2.09)
Under 4.5
85.64%
▲
(+2.10)
First Half Winner
Eritrea
7.31%
▲
(+0.24)
Draw
40.85%
▼
(-0.47)
South Africa
51.84%
▲
(+0.24)
Team To Score First
Eritrea
16.58%
▲
(+0.05)
No Goal
9.58%
▲
(+0.45)
South Africa
73.84%
▼
(-0.50)
Corners
Over 8
55.62%
▼
(-0.31)
Equal 8
11.28%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 8
33.11%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 9
44.32%
▼
(-0.18)
Equal 9
11.29%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 9
44.38%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 10.5
33.91%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 10.5
66.09%
▲
(+0.05)
Eritrea Goals
Over 1.5
7.76%
▲
(+4.58)
Under 1.5
92.24%
▼
(-4.58)
Over 2.5
0.34%
▲
(+0.29)
Under 2.5
99.66%
▼
(-0.29)
Over 3.5
0.02%
Under 3.5
99.98%
South Africa Goals
Over 0.5
82.66%
▼
(-3.00)
Under 0.5
17.34%
▲
(+2.99)
Over 1.5
53.7%
▼
(-5.11)
Under 1.5
46.3%
▲
(+5.11)
Over 2.5
28.42%
▼
(-3.91)
Under 2.5
71.58%
▲
(+3.91)
Over 3.5
12.64%
▼
(-2.56)
Under 3.5
87.36%
▲
(+2.57)
Score analysis
Eritrea
10.42%
Draw
20.19%
South Africa
69.42%
Eritrea
1-0
@
5.57%
▲
(+1.69)
2-1 @ 2.33%
2-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.83)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 10.42%
2-1 @ 2.33%
2-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.83)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 10.42%
Draw
0-0
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.45)
1-1 @ 9.33% ▲ (+1.31)
2-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.19%
1-1 @ 9.33% ▲ (+1.31)
2-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.19%
South Africa
0-1
@
17.07%
▼
(-1.22)
0-2 @ 15.26% ▼ (-2.25)
0-3 @ 9.16% ▼ (-1.91)
1-2 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.28)
1-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.41)
Other @ 12.63% ▼ (-2.56)
Total : 69.42%
0-2 @ 15.26% ▼ (-2.25)
0-3 @ 9.16% ▼ (-1.91)
1-2 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.28)
1-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.41)
Other @ 12.63% ▼ (-2.56)
Total : 69.42%