Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 30, 2026 5.00pm

Eritrea vs South Africa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Eritrea

All competitions

South Africa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 69.41%. A draw has a probability of 20.18% and a win for Eritrea has a probability of 10.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 0-1 with a probability of 17.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (15.26%) and 0-3 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (9.58%) , while for a Eritrea win it is 1-0 (5.57%).

Result

Eritrea 10.42% ▲ (+4.63)
Draw 20.18% ▲ (+3.02)
South Africa 69.41% ▼ (-7.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.75% ▲ (+2.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.81% ▼ (-0.96)
Under 1.5 32.19% ▲ (+0.95)
Over 2.5 40.99% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 2.5 59.01% ▲ (+0.80)
Over 3.5 20.81% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 79.19% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 14.36% ▼ (-2.09)
Under 4.5 85.64% ▲ (+2.10)

First Half Winner

Eritrea 7.31% ▲ (+0.24)
Draw 40.85% ▼ (-0.47)
South Africa 51.84% ▲ (+0.24)

Team To Score First

Eritrea 16.58% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 9.58% ▲ (+0.45)
South Africa 73.84% ▼ (-0.50)

Corners

Over 8 55.62% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 8 11.28% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 8 33.11% ▲ (+0.41)
Over 9 44.32% ▼ (-0.18)
Equal 9 11.29% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 9 44.38% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 10.5 33.91% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 10.5 66.09% ▲ (+0.05)

Eritrea Goals

Over 1.5 7.76% ▲ (+4.58)
Under 1.5 92.24% ▼ (-4.58)
Over 2.5 0.34% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 2.5 99.66% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 0.02%
Under 3.5 99.98%

South Africa Goals

Over 0.5 82.66% ▼ (-3.00)
Under 0.5 17.34% ▲ (+2.99)
Over 1.5 53.7% ▼ (-5.11)
Under 1.5 46.3% ▲ (+5.11)
Over 2.5 28.42% ▼ (-3.91)
Under 2.5 71.58% ▲ (+3.91)
Over 3.5 12.64% ▼ (-2.56)
Under 3.5 87.36% ▲ (+2.57)

Score analysis

Eritrea 10.42%
Draw 20.19%
South Africa 69.42%
Eritrea
1-0 @ 5.57% ▲ (+1.69)
2-1 @ 2.33%
2-0 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.83)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 10.42%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.45)
1-1 @ 9.33% ▲ (+1.31)
2-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.19%
South Africa
0-1 @ 17.07% ▼ (-1.22)
0-2 @ 15.26% ▼ (-2.25)
0-3 @ 9.16% ▼ (-1.91)
1-2 @ 8.69% ▼ (-0.28)
1-3 @ 4.98% ▲ (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.41)
Other @ 12.63% ▼ (-2.56)
Total : 69.42%