Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 26, 2026 2.00pm
Orlando Stadium

South Africa vs Guinea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

South Africa

All competitions

Guinea

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a South Africa win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Guinea has a probability of 32.3% and a draw has a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Africa win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.84%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Guinea win is 0-1 (10.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).

Result

South Africa 41.61%
Draw 26.09%
Guinea 32.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.56%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.47%
Under 1.5 30.53%
Over 2.5 43.74%
Under 2.5 56.26%
Over 3.5 23.02%
Under 3.5 76.95%
Over 4.5 12.71%
Under 4.5 87.29%

First Half Winner

South Africa 24.26%
Draw 48.24%
Guinea 27.5%

Team To Score First

South Africa 46.19%
No Goal 9.12%
Guinea 44.69%

Corners

Over 8 33.32%
Equal 8 11.32%
Under 8 55.36%
Over 9 23.86%
Equal 9 9.46%
Under 9 66.68%
Over 10.5 16.52%
Under 10.5 83.48%

South Africa Goals

Over 1.5 36.47%
Under 1.5 63.53%
Over 2.5 15.77%
Under 2.5 84.23%
Over 3.5 5.59%
Under 3.5 94.41%

Guinea Goals

Over 0.5 63.07%
Under 0.5 36.93%
Over 1.5 28.56%
Under 1.5 71.44%
Over 2.5 9.91%
Under 2.5 90.09%
Over 3.5 2.86%
Under 3.5 97.14%

Score analysis

South Africa 41.6%
Draw 26.1%
Guinea 32.31%
South Africa
1-0 @ 11.14%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 7.41%
3-1 @ 3.82%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 5.58%
Total : 41.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 9.12%
2-2 @ 3.85%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.1%
Guinea
0-1 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 5.74%
1-3 @ 2.65%
0-3 @ 2.25%
2-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 32.31%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Aug 11, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
International Friendlies
Mar 25, 2022 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT