Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 3
Nov 12, 2026 7.00pm

Senegal vs Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Mozambique 1 - 1 Senegal

Sudan

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Sudan 1 - 0 Ethiopia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Senegal win with a probability of 74.6%. A draw has a probability of 17.77% and a win for Sudan has a probability of 7.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win is 2-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.68%) and 3-0 (11.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.09%) , while for a Sudan win it is 0-1 (3.78%).

Result

Senegal 74.6% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 17.77%
Sudan 7.65% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

34.43% ▼ (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.31% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 1.5 25.69% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 2.5 49.62% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 2.5 50.38% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 3.5 27.97% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 3.5 72.03% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 20.06% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 4.5 79.94% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Senegal 57.9%
Draw 34.06%
Sudan 8.04%

Team To Score First

Senegal 77.26% ▼ (-0.05)
No Goal 7.23% ▲ (+0.07)
Sudan 15.51% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 50.98%
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 37.62%
Over 9 39.99%
Equal 9 11%
Under 9 49.02%
Over 10.5 30.18%
Under 10.5 69.82%

Senegal Goals

Over 1.5 62.67% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 37.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 2.5 36.78% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 63.22% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 17.81% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 82.19% ▲ (+0.05)

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 33.01% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 0.5 66.99% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 1.5 7.84% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 92.16% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 1.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 98.85% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 0.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 99.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Senegal 74.6%
Draw 17.76%
Sudan 7.64%
Senegal
2-0 @ 15.54% ▲ (+0.06)
1-0 @ 14.68% ▲ (+0.10)
3-0 @ 11.75% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 5.44% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 17.79% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 74.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 17.76%
Sudan
0-1 @ 3.78%
1-2 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 7.64%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
Jan 3, 2026 4.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Grand Stade de Tanger
  • Ismail Jakobs 13' yellowcard
  • Pape Gueye 29' goal
  • Pape Gueye 45'+3' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' yellowcard
  • Boulaye Dia 53' yellowcard
  • El Hadji Malick Diouf 53' yellowcard
  • Lamine Camara 73' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Mbaye 74' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Mbaye 77' goal
  • Pathé Ciss 87' yellowcard
  • goal Aamir Abdallah 6'
  • yellowcard Altayeb Abaker 61'
  • yellowcard Salaheldin Adil 68'
  • yellowcard Sheddy Barglan 70'
  • yellowcard John Mano 79'
  • yellowcard Abdelrazig Omer 79'
  • yellowcard Al-Gozoli Nooh 79'
  • yellowcard Salaheldin Adil 85'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa Gameweek 7
Sep 5, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade du Senegal (Stade Abdoulaye Wade De Diamniadio)
  • Kalidou Koulibaly 14' goal
  • Pape Matar Sarr 41' goal
  • Boulaye Dia 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bakhit Khamis 79'
African Nations Championship Gameweek 50
Aug 29, 2025 4.00pm
1
1
ET Al-Hilal Stadium
  • Mohamed Tia Abu Daqn 6' goal
  • Yaser Awad Boshara 36' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Tia Abu Daqn 42' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Al-Rasheed 67' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Abooja 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mbaye Yaya Ly 25'
  • yellowcard Ousseynou Fall Seck 52'
  • goal Seyni Mbaye Ndiaye 58'
  • yellowcard Issa Kane 60'
African Nations Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 19, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Al-Hilal Stadium
  • Mazen Bashir Simbo 26' yellowcard
  • Salaheldin Adil 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mbaye Yaya Ly 18'
  • redcard Mbaye Yaya Ly 90'+5'
World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Mar 22, 2025 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT 28 March Stadium
  • Ramadan Agab 70' yellowcard
  • Walieldin Khidir Safour Daiyeen 72' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Saeed Ahmed 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sadio Mane 89'