Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 29, 2026 2.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Nacional do Zimpeto
  • Witiness Quembo 24' goal
  • Chamito Alfandega 46' goal
  • Alfonso Amade 50' yellowcard
  • Guima 58' goal
  • Chamito Alfandega 62' goal
  • Guima 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ahmed Tabanja 54'
  • yellowcard Ammar Taifour 80'
  • goal Yasin Hamed 88'

Mozambique vs Sudan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Mozambique 1 - 1 Senegal

Sudan

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 2.00pm
Sudan 1 - 0 Ethiopia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 45.34%. A draw had a probability of 27.37% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 27.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%) , while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (8.19%).

Result

Mozambique 45.34%
Draw 27.37%
Sudan 27.33%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.68% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 28.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 47.46% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.54% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.26%
Under 3.5 74.74%
Over 4.5 13.91%
Under 4.5 86.09%

First Half Winner

Mozambique 35.77% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 46.16% ▼ (-0.03)
Sudan 18.08% ▲ (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Mozambique 54.5% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 9.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Sudan 36.21%

Corners

Over 8 32.66%
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 56.15%
Over 9 23.37%
Equal 9 9.3%
Under 9 67.34%
Over 10.5 16.2%
Under 10.5 83.8%

Mozambique Goals

Over 1.5 41.74% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 58.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 18.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 81.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.77%
Under 3.5 93.23%

Sudan Goals

Over 0.5 60.52% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 39.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 27.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 72.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 9.82% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.18% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.73%
Under 3.5 97.27%

Score analysis

Mozambique 45.34%
Draw 27.36%
Sudan 27.32%
Mozambique
1-0 @ 11.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.79% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 2.09%
Other @ 6.42%
Total : 45.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 9.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.72%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 27.36%
Sudan
0-1 @ 8.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 2.04% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 27.32%