Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Nov 15, 2024 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Mbombela Stadium
  • Lindo Mkhonta 80' goal
  • goal Carlos Mane 87'

Eswatini vs Guinea-Bissau - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Eswatini

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 14, 2024 8.00pm
Eswatini 0 - 3 Mozambique

Guinea-Bissau

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Oct 15, 2024 5.00pm
Guinea-Bissau 0 - 0 Mali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 23.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result

Eswatini 23.13% (+0.44)
Draw 28.17% (+0.40)
Guinea-Bissau 48.7% (-0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

41.44% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.72% (-0.91)
Under 2.5 63.29% (+0.92)
Over 3.5 17.33% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 82.67% (+0.67)
Over 4.5 6.85% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 93.15% (+0.36)

Eswatini Goals

Over 0.5 56.21% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 43.79% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 20.05% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 79.95% (+0.09)

Guinea-Bissau Goals

Over 0.5 73.72% (-0.82)
Under 0.5 26.28% (+0.82)
Over 1.5 38.6% (-1.11)
Under 1.5 61.4% (+1.11)

Score analysis

Eswatini 23.13%
Draw 28.16%
Guinea-Bissau 48.69%
Eswatini
1-0 @ 9.5% (+0.30)
2-1 @ 5.24% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 3.92% (+0.11)
3-1 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.08% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 23.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.69% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 11.5% (+0.39)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 28.16%
Guinea-Bissau
0-1 @ 15.37% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 10.27% (-0.14)
1-2 @ 8.49% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 4.58% (-0.17)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.16)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.07)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 1.26% (-0.09)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 48.69%

Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Sep 5, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nacional 24 de Setembro
  • Bura Nogueira 14' goal
  • Manuel Balde 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Neliso Dlamini 67'