Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea-Bissau win with a probability of 48.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 23.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guinea-Bissau win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.27%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.