Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 (9.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.