Copa Sudamericana Gameweek 1
Apr 9, 2026 3.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Olímpico Rafael Calles Pinto
  • Jean Castillo 16' goal
  • Jiovany Ramos 39' goal
  • Gerónimo Bortagaray Derregibus 72' yellowcard
  • Pablo Lima 72' yellowcard
  • Luis Casiani 80' yellowcard
  • Geremías Meléndez 80' yellowcard
  • João Barros 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Dudu 27'
  • yellowcard Maycon  46'
  • yellowcard Cauã Soares 46'
  • yellowcard Bernard 46'
  • yellowcard Reinier 46'
  • yellowcard Kauã Pascini 65'
  • yellowcard Alexsander  77'

Academia Puerto Cabello vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Academia Puerto Cabello

All competitions

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Academia Puerto Cabello had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Academia Puerto Cabello win was 1-0 (9.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result

Academia Puerto Cabello 29.17% (-7.18)
Draw 27.64% (-0.72)
Atletico Mineiro 43.18% (+7.87)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.77% (-0.87)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.99% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 31.01% (-0.23)
Over 2.5 42.93% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 57.07% (-0.26)
Over 3.5 22.04% (+0.24)
Under 3.5 77.96% (-0.24)
Over 4.5 11.52% (+0.41)
Under 4.5 88.48% (-0.40)

First Half Winner

Academia Puerto Cabello 29.6%
Draw 45%
Atletico Mineiro 25.4%

Team To Score First

Academia Puerto Cabello 46.68% (+0.04)
No Goal 9.35% (-0.09)
Atletico Mineiro 43.97% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 49.92% (+0.06)
Equal 8 11.88% (+0.02)
Under 8 38.2% (-0.06)
Over 9 38.53% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.38%
Under 9 50.08% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 28.49% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 71.51% (-0.02)

Academia Puerto Cabello Goals

Over 1.5 26.91% (-5.81)
Under 1.5 73.09% (+5.82)
Over 2.5 8.49% (-3.08)
Under 2.5 91.51% (+3.08)
Over 3.5 2.28% (-1.13)
Under 3.5 97.72% (+1.13)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 72.02% (+5.05)
Under 0.5 27.98% (-5.06)
Over 1.5 37.97% (+5.99)
Under 1.5 62.03% (-5.99)
Over 2.5 15.36% (+3.86)
Under 2.5 84.64% (-3.86)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+1.71)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-1.71)

Score analysis

Academia Puerto Cabello 29.18%
Draw 27.64%
Atletico Mineiro 43.2%
Academia Puerto Cabello
1-0 @ 9.69% (-1.47)
2-1 @ 6.8% (-1.16)
2-0 @ 5.01% (-1.54)
3-1 @ 2.25% (-0.77)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.85)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.31)
Other @ 2.21% (-1.11)
Total : 29.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.36)
0-0 @ 9.35% (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.21)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 27.64%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 11.99% (+1.34)
1-2 @ 8.64% (+0.81)
0-2 @ 8.02% (+1.84)
1-3 @ 3.81% (+0.81)
0-3 @ 3.72% (+1.25)
2-3 @ 2.14% (+0.17)
Other @ 4.88% (+1.71)
Total : 43.2%