Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 50.07% ( | 23.81% ( | 26.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.24% ( | 44.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.88% ( | 67.12% ( |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( | 17.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.22% ( | 48.78% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( | 30.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.84% ( | 67.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 2-0 @ 8.17% ( 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 4-0 @ 2.01% ( 4-2 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 3.6% Total : 50.07% | 1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 26.11% |