Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.