Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for SJK had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.7%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.