Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 40.22%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.