Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 4

Oct 4, 2024 at 4pm UK

Hietalahden jalkapallostadion

VPS
0 - 2
Ilves

Haukioja (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Veteli (48'), Soderback (90+4')

Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Vaasan Palloseura and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions

Last Game: SJK 1-4 VPS
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Ilves

All competitions

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 0-1 Ilves
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	Ilves
33.8% ( 0.29)	24.52% ( -0.06)	41.68% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 58.95% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.1% (

0.34)

43.89% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.72% (

0.33)

66.28% (

-0.33)

Vaasan Palloseura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.75% (

0.33)

25.24% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40% (

0.45)

60% (

-0.45)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.85% (

0.03)

21.14% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46% (

0.05)

53.99% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Vaasan Palloseura 33.8%

Ilves 41.68%

Draw 24.52%

Vaasan Palloseura	Draw	Ilves
2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.8%	1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.52%	1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.68%