Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 3

Apr 19, 2025 at 3pm UK

Arto Tolsa Areena

KTP
0 - 5
Ilves

Forsell (39')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Riski (27', 58'), Soderback (55'), Ala-Myllymaki (64'), Hytonen (72')
Ala-Myllymaki (45+1'), Stjopin (78'), Soderback (89')

Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between KTP and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

KTP

All competitions

Last Game: KTP 2-2 VPS
Friday, April 11 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Ilves

All competitions

Last Game: Ilves 2-1 Jaro
Saturday, April 12 at 12.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for KTP had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest KTP win was 2-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
KTP	Draw	Ilves
29.67% ( -1.43)	23.13% ( -0.32)	47.2% ( 1.75)

Both teams to score 61.99% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.92% (

0.76)

39.08% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.6% (

0.79)

61.4% (

-0.79)

KTP Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.57% (

-0.52)

25.42% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.75% (

-0.72)

60.25% (

0.72)

Ilves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.12% (

0.97)

16.88% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.09% (

1.7)

46.91% (

-1.7)

Score Analysis

KTP 29.67%

Ilves 47.2%

Draw 23.12%

KTP	Draw	Ilves
2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.24) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.67%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.12%	1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 5.52% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.24) 2-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.1) Other @ 4.22% Total : 47.2%