Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 2
Apr 12, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
Ratinan Stadion

Ilves
2 - 1
Jaro

Hytonen (15'), Rale (23')
Maenpaa (52')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Cissoko (81')
Ogungbaro (45+4'), Gunnarsson (76'), Polley (90')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and Jaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: Ilves 3-2 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, April 5 at 1pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Jaro

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Mariehamn 0-2 Jaro
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Jaro had a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Jaro win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawJaro
54.43% (-5.493 -5.49)23.12% (1.995 2)22.44% (3.502 3.5)
Both teams to score 54.87% (-1.233 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.73% (-4.246 -4.25)45.27% (4.251 4.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (-4.196 -4.2)67.61% (4.2 4.2)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (-3.223 -3.22)16.54% (3.227 3.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.71% (-6.136 -6.14)46.29% (6.143 6.14)
Jaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (1.027 1.03)34.26% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04% (1.082 1.08)70.96% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 54.43%
    Jaro 22.44%
    Draw 23.12%
IlvesDrawJaro
1-0 @ 10.19% (0.719 0.72)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.375 -0.38)
3-1 @ 5.9% (-0.792 -0.79)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.916 -0.92)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.325 -0.33)
4-1 @ 2.65% (-0.719 -0.72)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.76 -0.76)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.335 -0.34)
5-1 @ 0.96% (-0.405 -0.41)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 54.43%
1-1 @ 10.92% (1.054 1.05)
0-0 @ 5.67% (0.969 0.97)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.12%
0-1 @ 6.07% (1.176 1.18)
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.71 0.71)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.702 0.7)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.304 0.3)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.08 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.276 0.28)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 22.44%

rhs 2.0


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