Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 54.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Jaro had a probability of 22.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.92%), while for a Jaro win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.