Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 2
Apr 11, 2025 at 4pm UK
Arto Tolsa Areena

KTP
2 - 2
VPS

Tarvonen (34'), Sumusalo (65')
Manga (70'), Bustgaard Larsen (87'), Koski (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fall (39'), Reid (90+5')
Haukioja (27'), Ahiabu (57')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between KTP and Vaasan Palloseura.

Form, Standings, Stats

KTP

All competitions
Last Game: KTP 0-1 SJK
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Vaasan Palloseura

All competitions
Last Game: VPS 4-3 Oulu
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for KTP had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest KTP win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
KTPDrawVaasan Palloseura
37.76% (-6.083 -6.08)23.86% (0.439 0.44)38.37% (5.646 5.65)
Both teams to score 62% (-0.558 -0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.81% (-1.169 -1.17)40.19% (1.171 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.44% (-1.218 -1.22)62.56% (1.22 1.22)
KTP Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (-3.236 -3.24)21.41% (3.239 3.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (-5.247 -5.25)54.41% (5.248 5.25)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.89% (2.44 2.44)21.11% (-2.437 -2.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.05% (3.656 3.66)53.94% (-3.655 -3.65)
Score Analysis
    KTP 37.76%
    Vaasan Palloseura 38.37%
    Draw 23.86%
KTPDrawVaasan Palloseura
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.648 -0.65)
1-0 @ 6.97% (-0.331 -0.33)
2-0 @ 5.37% (-0.854 -0.85)
3-1 @ 4.29% (-0.824 -0.82)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.361 -0.36)
3-0 @ 2.76% (-0.778 -0.78)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.527 -0.53)
4-2 @ 1.29% (-0.291 -0.29)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.445 -0.45)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 37.76%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.86%
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.797 0.8)
0-1 @ 7.03% (0.842 0.84)
0-2 @ 5.47% (0.992 0.99)
1-3 @ 4.37% (0.691 0.69)
2-3 @ 3.37% (0.231 0.23)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.678 0.68)
1-4 @ 1.7% (0.369 0.37)
2-4 @ 1.31% (0.175 0.18)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.322 0.32)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 38.37%

Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 21
VPS
2-1
KTP
Sawyer (33'), Godly Michael (51' pen.)
Ahiabu (41'), Sawyer (78')
Mika (66')
Talo (11'), Sandberg (38'), Furtado (72'), Ylitolva (73'), Niemela (78'), Ogungbaro (90+4')
Jun 3, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
KTP
1-0
VPS
Furtado (79')
Furtado (22'), Mika (69'), Sandberg (89'), Nurmos (90+1')

Bashkirov (83'), Alanko (85')
rhs 2.0


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