Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for KTP had a probability of 37.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.03%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest KTP win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.