Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.