Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.