Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 54.86%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 23% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.