Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 4
Apr 27, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Wiklof Holding Arena

Mariehamn
3 - 2
Ilves

Dahlstrom (17'), Kujasalo (29'), Tehe Olawale (61')
Kujasalo (32'), Nissinen (40'), Toivonen (42')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Miettunen (54'), Rale (60')
Hytonen (85')
Virtanen (4')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between IFK Mariehamn and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: KuPS 4-1 Mariehamn
Wednesday, April 23 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: KTP 0-5 Ilves
Saturday, April 19 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 19.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
IFK MariehamnDrawIlves
19.82% (0.355 0.36)23.26% (0.361 0.36)56.92% (-0.718 -0.72)
Both teams to score 50.61% (-0.541 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.94% (-1.016 -1.02)49.06% (1.013 1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.924 -0.92)71.13% (0.92200000000001 0.92)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.99% (-0.204 -0.2)39.01% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.26% (-0.195 -0.19)75.74% (0.19199999999999 0.19)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.61199999999999 -0.61)17.01% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.85% (-1.094 -1.09)47.15% (1.092 1.09)
Score Analysis
    IFK Mariehamn 19.82%
    Ilves 56.91%
    Draw 23.26%
IFK MariehamnDrawIlves
1-0 @ 6.25% (0.222 0.22)
2-1 @ 5.21% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.94% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.63% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.82%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.64% (0.271 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 23.26%
0-1 @ 11.75% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 10.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.15% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.72% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.56% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-5 @ 0.96% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 56.91%

Head to Head
Aug 11, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 19
Ilves
2-0
Mariehamn
Riski (25'), Haarala (49' pen.)
Kivikko (56'), Ala-Myllymaki (84')

Dahlstrom (23'), Machado (48'), Fonsell (88')
Apr 28, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mariehamn
0-1
Ilves

Tehe Olawale (11'), Dahlstrom (50'), Raitanen (81'), Patut (90+5')
Dahlstrom (62')
Jukkola (48')
Veteli (13'), Arifi (36')
Arifi (40')
Sep 27, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 3
Ilves
2-1
Mariehamn
Parfitt-Williams (18'), Haarala (85')
Sumusalo (26')
van der Heyden (14')
Jul 15, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Ilves
0-0
Mariehamn
Miettunen (90+1')
Apr 5, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 1
Mariehamn
1-1
Ilves
Ngueukam (36')
Pennanen (54' pen.)