Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 56.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 19.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.