Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 50.93%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.