Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.