Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.