Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 9
May 31, 2025 at 1pm UK
Arto Tolsa Areena

KTP
2 - 2
Mariehamn

Seck (49'), Glasson (68')
Bustgaard Larsen (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dahlstrom (23'), Reid (90+3')
Patut (65')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between KTP and IFK Mariehamn.

Form, Standings, Stats

KTP

All competitions
Last Game: KTP 0-0 Haka
Friday, May 23 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: Mariehamn 0-4 HJK Helsinki
Saturday, May 24 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
KTPDrawIFK Mariehamn
40.48% (-0.402 -0.4)25.3% (0.183 0.18)34.22% (0.22300000000001 0.22)
Both teams to score 56.34% (-0.581 -0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (-0.774 -0.77)47.34% (0.779 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (-0.721 -0.72)69.56% (0.72600000000001 0.73)
KTP Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79% (-0.538 -0.54)23.21% (0.543 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (-0.793 -0.79)57.11% (0.799 0.8)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.36% (-0.23599999999999 -0.24)26.64% (0.241 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.12% (-0.314 -0.31)61.88% (0.319 0.32)
Score Analysis
    KTP 40.48%
    IFK Mariehamn 34.22%
    Draw 25.29%
KTPDrawIFK Mariehamn
1-0 @ 9.03% (0.149 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.72% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.095 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.55% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 40.48%
1-1 @ 11.94% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.198 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 8.18% (0.209 0.21)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.41% (0.102 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.39% (0.029 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.22%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 5
KTP
0-2
Mariehamn

Furtado (45+3')
Ngueukam (13', 23')
Enqvist (90+5')
Jul 1, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 14
Mariehamn
0-0
KTP
Lahti (25'), Cledson (52'), Anini Jr (90+2')
Lahti (48')
Manthatis (17'), Furtado (36'), Klinkenberg (62')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 3
KTP
2-1
Mariehamn
Mika (45+2'), Furtado (65')
Ngamba (47')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Mariehamn
5-1
KTP
Henrique (16'), Maenpaa (31'), Mastokangas (34'), Tehe Olawale (38', 75')
Svensson (73')
Ramadingaye (74' pen.)
Sissoko (19'), Esnaider (56'), Garret (82')
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Mariehamn
4-2
KTP
Hambo (2', 5', 9' pen.), Tehe Olawale (90+4')
Paul Tendeng (55'), Almstrom-Tahti (56')
Tarvonen (14'), Makijarvi (15')
Sissoko (39')