Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 5
May 3, 2025 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 3' goal
  • Vertti Hanninen 6' goal
  • Joakim Latonen 45'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pontus Lindgren 35'

Gnistan vs IFK Mariehamn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gnistan

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 2.00pm
Gnistan 1 - 2 KuPS
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Joakim Latonen

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last game
Apr 27, 2025 4.30pm
Mariehamn 3 - 2 Ilves
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Muhamed Tehe Olawale

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 54.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gnistan would win this match.

Result

Gnistan 54.1% (+0.13)
Draw 23.28% (+0.20)
IFK Mariehamn 22.62% (-0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.58% (-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.24% (-1.19)
Under 2.5 45.77% (+1.19)
Over 3.5 31.92% (-1.14)
Under 3.5 68.09% (+1.15)
Over 4.5 16.02% (-0.82)
Under 4.5 83.99% (+0.83)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5 83.17% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 16.83% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 53.18% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 46.83% (+0.70)

IFK Mariehamn Goals

Over 0.5 65.63% (-0.95)
Under 0.5 34.37% (+0.95)
Over 1.5 28.92% (-1.02)
Under 1.5 71.08% (+1.03)

Score analysis

Gnistan 54.09%
Draw 23.28%
IFK Mariehamn 22.62%
Gnistan
1-0 @ 10.3% (+0.38)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.18% (+0.23)
3-1 @ 5.83% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 5.46% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 2.6% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.99%
Total : 54.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.01% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 5.79% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.14)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.28%
IFK Mariehamn
0-1 @ 6.18% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.3% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 22.62%

Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 1
Sep 15, 2024 1.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Vertti Hanninen 28' goal
  • Vertti Hanninen 46' goal
  • Saku Heiskanen 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Emmanuel Patut 46'
  • yellowcard Leo Andersson 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 15
Aug 21, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Toolon Pallokentta
  • Oliver Pettersson 45' yellowcard
  • Saku Heiskanen 47' goal
  • Armend Kabashi 59' yellowcard
  • Joakim Latonen 85' goal
  • goal Michael Fonsell 7'
  • yellowcard Hugo Cardoso 36'
  • yellowcard Eero-Matti Auvinen 90'+3'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Gameweek 8
May 26, 2024 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Sebastian Dahlstrom 16' goal
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 21' yellowcard
  • Michael Fonsell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Momodou Sarr 4'
  • goal Benjamin Tatar 26'
  • yellowcard Henrik Olander 50'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Tatar 55'
  • yellowcard Juhani Ojala 67'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs
Oct 29, 2023 1.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wiklof Holding Arena
  • Muhamed Tehe Olawale 40' goal
  • Timi Lahti 49' yellowcard
  • Jamie Hopcutt 72' goal
  • Alvaro Ngamba 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Medo 48'
  • yellowcard Hannes Woivalin 51'
  • yellowcard Armend Kabashi 54'
  • redcard Armend Kabashi 90'+4'
Finnish Veikkausliiga Playoffs
Oct 25, 2023 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Mustapekka Areena
  • Hannes Woivalin 34' yellowcard
  • Sampo Ala-Iso 53' yellowcard
  • Otso Linnas 59' yellowcard