Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 54.61%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
HJK Helsinki	Draw	Gnistan
54.61% ( -0.28)	22.2% ( 0.21)	23.19% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 59% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.74% (

-0.9)

40.26% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.36% (

-0.93)

62.63% (

0.93)

HJK Helsinki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.28% (

-0.4)

14.71% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.09% (

-0.77)

42.91% (

0.76)

Gnistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.17% (

-0.44)

30.82% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.9% (

-0.52)

67.1% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

HJK Helsinki 54.61%

Gnistan 23.19%

Draw 22.19%

HJK Helsinki	Draw	Gnistan
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 3% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.61%	1-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.19%	1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 23.19%