Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 54.61%. A win for Gnistan had a probability of 23.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Gnistan win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.