Finnish Veikkausliiga
Gameweek
4
-
Erik Gunnarsson
17'
-
Albin Bjorkskog
34'
-
Michael Ogungbaro
69'
-
Kerfala Cissoko
77'
-
Joni Makela
30'
-
Matias Paavola
33'
-
Aleksi Tarvonen
63'
-
Tabi Manga
74'
-
Mitchell Glasson
84'
-
Matias Paavola
90'+5'
Jaro vs KTP - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KTP would win this match.
Result
Jaro
28.72%
▲
(+0.34)
Draw
23.14%
▲
(+0.12)
KTP
48.14%
▼
(-0.45)
Both Teams to Score:
61.27%
▼
(-0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.27%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 2.5
39.73%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 3.5
37.91%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 3.5
62.08%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 4.5
20.49%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 4.5
79.5%
▲
(+0.25)
Jaro Goals
Over 0.5
73.62%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 0.5
26.38%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
38.46%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
61.53%
▼
(-0.10)
KTP Goals
Over 0.5
83.22%
▼
(-0.29)
Under 0.5
16.77%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 1.5
53.28%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
46.72%
▲
(+0.51)
Score analysis
Jaro
28.72%
Draw
23.13%
KTP
48.14%
Jaro
2-1
@
7.01%
▲
(+0.07)
1-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 28.72%
1-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 28.72%
Draw
1-1
@
10.52%
▲
(+0.08)
2-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.13%
2-2 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.13%
KTP
1-2
@
9.4%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 48.14%
0-1 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.04)
1-4 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 48.14%