Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 8
May 24, 2025 at 5pm UK
Wiklof Holding Arena
HJK logo

Mariehamn
0 - 4
HJK Helsinki


Tehe Olawale (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pukki (31'), Ring (53'), Hostikka (76'), Antzoulas (87')
Kanellopoulos (42'), Hostikka (49')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between IFK Mariehamn and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

IFK Mariehamn

All competitions
Last Game: Oulu 0-1 Mariehamn
Saturday, May 17 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 4-2 SJK
Tuesday, May 20 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a IFK Mariehamn win it was 1-0 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.

Result
IFK MariehamnDrawHJK Helsinki
23.28% (0.224 0.22)23.57% (0.172 0.17)53.14% (-0.402 -0.4)
Both teams to score 54.47% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.69% (-0.512 -0.51)46.31% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.4% (-0.484 -0.48)68.6% (0.48099999999999 0.48)
IFK Mariehamn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)34.07% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)70.75% (0.084999999999994 0.08)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.62% (-0.336 -0.34)17.38% (0.331 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.21% (-0.58799999999999 -0.59)47.79% (0.583 0.58)
Score Analysis
    IFK Mariehamn 23.29%
    HJK Helsinki 53.14%
    Draw 23.57%
IFK MariehamnDrawHJK Helsinki
1-0 @ 6.38% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 6.01% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.43% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.23% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 23.29%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.92% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 10.36% (0.11 0.11)
1-2 @ 9.76% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 5.69% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.49% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.14%

Head to Head
Jun 30, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 13
Mariehamn
1-2
HJK Helsinki
Larsson (28')
Machado (18'), Tehe Olawale (43')
Keskinen (6' og.), Halme (64')
Kanellopoulos (46')
Apr 20, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 3
HJK Helsinki
2-1
Mariehamn
Toivio (11'), Keskinen (66')
Olusanya (17'), Lingman (61'), Kouassivi-Benissan (81')
Larsson (89')
Patut (49')
Aug 5, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 18
HJK Helsinki
4-2
Mariehamn
Olusanya (9'), Hostikka (19', 77'), Soiri (90' pen.)
Rogic (23'), Halme (34'), Soiri (90+1')
Ngueukam (35'), Van der Heyden (84')
Coubronne (90+1')
May 27, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 9
Mariehamn
0-0
HJK Helsinki
Asiri (90+1')
Hetemaj (80'), Paananen (82')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
HJK Helsinki
1-0
Mariehamn
Terho (42')
Tenho (13')

Nissinen (33'), Tehe Olawale (90')