Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Jaro win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.