Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 52.05%. A win for Jaro had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Jaro win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.