Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haka in this match.