Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 69.33%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Oulu win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.