Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Haka had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Haka win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.