Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oulu win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for KTP had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oulu win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.63%) and 0-2 (5.43%). The likeliest KTP win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oulu would win this match.