Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.