Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.