Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Haka had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.