Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Haka had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-0 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.