Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Turku win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Turku win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Turku would win this match.