Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Willem II win was 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.