Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
May 13, 2026 7.00pm
Yanmar Stadion

Almere City vs Willem II - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Almere City

All competitions

Willem II

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Almere City win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Willem II has a probability of 33.43% and a draw has a probability of 24.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Almere City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.73%). The likeliest Willem II win is 1-2 (7.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.87%).

Result

Almere City 42.01% (+0.06)
Draw 24.57%
Willem II 33.43% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.91% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.91% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.09% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 59.56% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 40.44% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 37.66%
Under 3.5 62.34%
Over 4.5 23.25% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 76.75% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Almere City 34.95% (-0.01)
Draw 38.11% (-0.03)
Willem II 26.94% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Almere City 51.85% (-0.01)
No Goal 5.28% (+0.02)
Willem II 42.87%

Corners

Over 8 65.03% (-0.04)
Equal 8 10.59%
Under 8 24.38% (+0.02)
Over 9 53.61% (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 34.97% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 42.33% (-0.03)
Under 10.5 57.67% (+0.03)

Almere City Goals

Over 1.5 46.02% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.98% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 22.17% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 77.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.78% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.22% (-0.02)

Willem II Goals

Over 0.5 69.76% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 30.24% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 39.19% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 60.81% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.83% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 83.17% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 6.25%
Under 3.5 93.75%

Score analysis

Almere City 42.01%
Draw 24.56%
Willem II 33.43%
Almere City
2-1 @ 8.73%
1-0 @ 7.44% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.6% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.72% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.31%
Other @ 8.48% (+0.01)
Total : 42.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 6.35% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.28% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 24.56%
Willem II
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 6.37% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.46%
2-3 @ 3.04%
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.95%
Total : 33.43%

Head to Head

Eerste Divisie Gameweek 36
Apr 12, 2026 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Mounir El Allouchi 16' goal
  • Per van Loon 53' goal
  • Armin Culum 76' yellowcard
  • Siegert Baartmans 85' yellowcard
  • Uriël van Aalst 85' yellowcard
  • Finn Stam 85' yellowcard
  • Siegert Baartmans 86' yellowcard
  • Uriël van Aalst 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Immanuel Ghogli 46'
  • yellowcard Immanuel Goghli 46'
  • yellowcard Enzo Cornelisse 60'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard Jamie Jacobs 60'
  • yellowcard Ferdy Druijf 60'
  • yellowcard Teun Bijleveld 63'
  • goal Ferdy Druijf 69'
Eerste Divisie
Aug 22, 2025 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 5.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Koning Willem II Stadion
  • Kyan Vaesen 32' redcard
  • Youssuf Sylla 40' yellowcard
  • Erik Schouten 76' yellowcard
  • goal Charles-Andreas Brym 12'
  • yellowcard Hamdi Akujobi 35'
  • goal Marvin da Graca 49'
  • yellowcard Marvin da Graca 84'
Eredivisie Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2024 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Yanmar Stadion
  • Vasilios Zagaritis 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mickael Tirpan 52'
  • yellowcard Amine Lachkar 56'
  • goal Amar Abdirahman Ahmed 78'
  • yellowcard Lambert Boris 85'
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 20
Jan 15, 2023 11.15am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jeredy Hilterman 23' goal
Eerste Divisie Gameweek 12
Oct 21, 2022 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jeremy Bokila 66' goal
  • goal Jeredy Hilterman 22'