Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (7.89%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.