Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Roda JC had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 22.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.82%) and 3-1 (5.74%). The likeliest Roda JC win was 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.