Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Logrones win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Logrones win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.43%) and 2-1 (7.34%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.