Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.71%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for UD Logrones had a probability of 29.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for a UD Logrones win it was 1-0 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.