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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Estoril

Porto
0 - 1
Estoril


Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Porto
Sunday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Estoril Praia

Porto are huge favourites to claim another comfortable victory, and even if Conceicao makes a few changes with the Antwerp game in mind, they should still stroll to three points here. Having not tasted success in the league for almost three months, the Dragao is not the best place to go hunting for a win to end that barren run, and it could be another long night for Estoril here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
72.98% (0.058000000000007 0.06) 16.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 10.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.26% (0.0019999999999953 0)36.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.27% (0.012999999999991 0.01)8.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70% (0.033000000000001 0.03)30% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.03% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)43.97% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9% (-0.052 -0.05)80.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Porto 72.98%
    Estoril Praia 10.67%
    Draw 16.35%
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.28% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.62%
4-0 @ 5.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.27% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.93%
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 72.98%
1-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 16.35%
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.67%

How you voted: Porto vs Estoril

Porto
91.2%
Draw
2.9%
Estoril Praia
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Estoril
1-1
Porto
Gouveia (41')
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
May 14, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 34
Porto
2-0
Estoril
Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')
Jan 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Estoril
2-3
Porto
Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')
Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')
Feb 21, 2018 6pm
Estoril
1-3
Porto
Eduardo (16')
Ribeiro (42'), Allano (57'), Andrade (70')
Telles (52'), Tiquinho (58', 66')
Reyes (15'), Brahimi (71'), Hernani (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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